XRP Remains Firm Above $1 Amid Post-Liquidation Reset and Rising Activity

Open interest has unwound sharply from last year’s highs while network activity and ETF inflows continue to strengthen, but XRP still needs to reclaim $1.10 to improve its technical outlook.

XRP remains anchored near the $1 level, though the nature of selling pressure has shifted. Unlike earlier declines driven by crowded leverage, the latest move reflects a broader reset in positioning. The token slipped about 1% during the session before rebounding from support as open interest dropped, long positions were liquidated, and on-chain activity improved. Attention now turns to whether the $1 base can hold long enough for buyers to challenge the $1.08–$1.10 zone.

Market Context
• Daily active addresses increased from around 23,000 on June 14 to nearly 39,500 by June 27, a 72% rise in two weeks.
• Open interest has fallen from roughly $1.3 billion to below $150 million, clearing much of the leverage built during prior rallies.
• Long liquidations surged to more than eight times the three-month average, with $6.7 million wiped out in a single move.
• Spot XRP ETFs recorded $15.34 million in inflows on June 29, extending institutional demand despite weak broader sentiment.

Price Action
• XRP declined from $1.0476 to $1.0366 over the past 24 hours, a drop of about 1.05%.
• Price action stayed within a tight $1.0201–$1.0476 range while holding above the key $1.00 psychological support.
• Selling pressure pushed XRP below $1.0350 on June 30, with price testing $1.0249 before stabilizing.
• Buyers stepped in near the lows, driving volume to 92.73 million XRP—around 134% above the daily average.
• A late-session rebound lifted XRP from $1.024 to $1.038, supported by a volume spike as resistance near $1.032 was cleared.

Technical Outlook
• XRP continues to defend the $1.00 level even as sentiment across the broader crypto market remains weak.
• The leverage reset improves the short-term setup, with falling open interest, negative funding rates, and forced liquidations clearing out crowded long positions.
• The bounce from $1.02 signals buyer interest, but price has yet to reclaim levels needed to confirm a stronger trend.
• XRP remains below key moving averages, including the 20-day EMA near $1.11, 50-day near $1.20, 100-day near $1.31, and 200-day near $1.52.
• The 14-day RSI has recovered to around 33, indicating easing selling pressure but still weak momentum below neutral levels.
• Bollinger Bands have tightened following June’s selloff, pointing to lower volatility, though a move above the mid-band near $1.12 is needed to signal a stronger recovery.

Key Levels to Watch
• $1.00 remains critical support; a break below could expose $0.90–$0.85.
• Immediate support lies between $1.0250 and $1.0350.
• Initial resistance is seen at $1.0460.
• A move above $1.08–$1.10 is needed to confirm a more constructive trend.

Until XRP decisively breaks above $1.10 or loses the $1.00 level, price action remains range-bound, supported by improving on-chain data but lacking a confirmed technical reversal.