Bearish Retail Sentiment on XRP May Mark a Turning Point for Bulls

XRP Retail Sentiment Turns Bearish, But History Suggests It Could Be a Buy Signal

Retail traders are showing their most pessimistic stance toward XRP since April’s market panic, when Trump’s tariff plans briefly rattled crypto markets. Historically, such moments of retail fear have aligned with local bottoms and contrarian buying opportunities.

According to Santiment, XRP’s bullish-to-bearish commentary ratio dropped below 1.0 twice in the past three days — hitting 0.74 on Oct. 4 and 0.86 on Oct. 6 — indicating that bearish voices now dominate retail discussions.

This surge in FUD (fear, uncertainty, and doubt) mirrors the pattern seen six months ago, when a wave of pessimism gave way to a steady price recovery. Markets, as Santiment notes, often “move opposite to the crowd’s emotional extremes.”

The contrast is clear when compared to Sept. 17, when bullish commentary outnumbered bearish remarks by 3.21 to 1, marking a euphoric high just as XRP peaked above $3.14 before retreating.

Analysts note that sentiment extremes often serve as inflection points — with excessive optimism signaling tops and intense fear suggesting exhaustion among sellers.

If this historical rhythm holds, the current retail gloom could be setting the stage for XRP’s next rebound, provided accumulation continues and broader market conditions remain supportive.