Bitcoin May See a $5K Price Shift Following White House Crypto Summit; ETH, SOL Expected to Be Volatile: STS Digital
Bitcoin Faces Potential $5K Swing as White House Crypto Summit Looms, STS Digital Reports
Options traders brace for major BTC, ETH, and SOL price fluctuations following Friday’s high-stakes meeting.
Bitcoin (BTC) could see a sharp $5,000 price swing following the White House crypto summit, according to market data analyzed by STS Digital. The firm notes that options pricing on Deribit suggests heightened volatility for Bitcoin, Ethereum (ETH), and Solana (SOL) in the aftermath of the event.
President Donald Trump will host industry leaders—including Coinbase, Chainlink, and Exodus—on Friday, fueling speculation that the administration may unveil plans for a strategic Bitcoin reserve. This marks a shift from earlier discussions, which suggested a U.S. crypto asset basket including BTC, ETH, XRP, ADA, and SOL.
Market Signals: Volatility Expected
Options data from Deribit indicates that traders are hedging for major moves as uncertainty grips the market.
“Liquidity is thin, and implied volatility (IV) spreads between Friday and Saturday expirations are unusually wide,” said Jeff Anderson, Head of Asia at STS Digital.
Key figures from Thursday’s options market:
- BTC options expiring Friday: 56% implied volatility (IV)
- BTC options expiring Saturday: 80% IV
This 24-point IV jump reflects trader expectations of a significant price shift immediately after the summit.
ETH and SOL options also show heightened volatility, suggesting bigger-than-normal weekend price swings.
Price Movements: What to Expect
Based on market data, traders should prepare for:
- BTC moving ±$5,000 between Friday 08:00 UTC and Saturday 08:00 UTC
- ETH fluctuating by ±$135
- SOL experiencing a ±$13 price swing
Reality Check: Volatility vs. Expectations
While options pricing suggests an explosive move, Anderson warns that markets often overprice event-driven volatility:
“Crypto tends to overestimate potential price swings. While options traders are positioning for turbulence, the actual move may underwhelm.”
That said, he noted that options remain the best tool for directional bets ahead of major events like this.
After the summit, volatility is expected to decline, as traders digest any policy updates and reposition for the next big market catalyst.
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